13th January 2016

Analysis of Dismissal Statistics

 

After lots of number crunching, the methods of dismissal for Sway players over history has been analysed and compiled and makes very interesting reading........or not!

Many coaches are of the view that being bowled is a relatively bad way to be dismissed - usually playing the wrong shot to the the wrong ball or not having the skill to keep out the straight ball. By way of comparison, all the dismissals in the history of one day internationals were analysed and the results by dismissal type are as follows:

 
ODI Figures  
   
Bowled       10,466 19.8%
Caught       30,102 57.0%
LBW        5,155 9.8%
Run Out        5,532 10.5%
Stumped        1,491 2.8%
Other             73 0.1%
        52,819 100.0%

So how do the Sway batsmen compare over the years? Here is the data - to make it statistically valid, it is limited to players who have been dismissed 40+ times:

 
Dismissal Methods - Min 40 dismissals                    
Least Likely to be Bowled                      
Dismiss Bwd Ct R/O LBW Stump other bowd ct ro lbw st
Atapattu, N 83 15 55 2 8 3   18% 66% 2% 10% 4%
Steadman, T 70 17 34 6 8 4 1 24% 49% 9% 11% 6%
Steadman, D 73 19 42 6 3 2 1 26% 58% 8% 4% 3%
Hammett, P 49 13 16 2 12 6   27% 33% 4% 24% 12%
Clark, A 150 40 71 5 29 5   27% 47% 3% 19% 3%
Marshall, J 48 13 30 1 3 1   27% 63% 2% 6% 2%
Hurrell, D 284 77 156 16 28 6 1 27% 55% 6% 10% 2%
Prince, N 50 14 28 1 7 0   28% 56% 2% 14% 0%
Stone, I 41 12 19 3 7 0   29% 46% 7% 17% 0%
Grasham, J 150 47 69 9 21 4   31% 46% 6% 14% 3%
Smith, C 57 18 26 5 4 4   32% 46% 9% 7% 7%
David, N 43 14 18 1 7 3   33% 42% 2% 16% 7%
How, R 144 49 80 8 4 3   34% 56% 6% 3% 2%
Brearley, M 55 19 20 4 12     35% 36% 7% 22% 0%
Keen, S 189 66 100 10 9 4   35% 53% 5% 5% 2%
Willson, S 76 27 28 8 13 0   36% 37% 11% 17% 0%
Baughan, W 92 33 39 3 16 1   36% 42% 3% 17% 1%
Hall, A 191 70 99 9 8 5   37% 52% 5% 4% 3%
Todd, C 49 18 27 0 3 1   37% 55% 0% 6% 2%
Gallagher, N 51 19 30 1 0 1   37% 59% 2% 0% 2%
Walton, J 118 44 54 8 9 3   37% 46% 7% 8% 3%
Marshall, D 155 59 66 8 19 3   38% 43% 5% 12% 2%
Bennett, P 176 68 50 7 48 3   39% 28% 4% 27% 2%
Wright, M 131 51 52 9 19 0   39% 40% 7% 15% 0%
How, S 148 58 61 9 13 7   39% 41% 6% 9% 5%
Owen, T 112 44 55 5 8 0   39% 49% 4% 7% 0%
Clark, R 84 33 40 6 3 2   39% 48% 7% 4% 2%
Straw, A 88 35 43 5 0 5   40% 49% 6% 0% 6%
Lewis, G 44 18 23 0 0 3   41% 52% 0% 0% 7%
MEAN               41%        
Charton, FJ 123 51 52 9 8 3   41% 42% 7% 7% 2%
Hammond, C 101 43 44 1 9 4   43% 44% 1% 9% 4%
Symons, L 79 34 38 3 0 4   43% 48% 4% 0% 5%
Drayton, S 65 29 23 6 7     45% 35% 9% 11% 0%
Harvey, S 73 33 29 6 4 1   45% 40% 8% 5% 1%
Thornton, H 42 19 14 6 2 1   45% 33% 14% 5% 2%
Brien, N 56 26 23 2 2 3   46% 41% 4% 4% 5%
Tranter, R 43 20 17 4 2 0   47% 40% 9% 5% 0%
Wood, M 43 20 19 1 1 1 1 47% 44% 2% 2% 2%
Wilkie, N 122 57 52 5 6 2   47% 43% 4% 5% 2%
Wills, J 93 45 37 5 2 4   48% 40% 5% 2% 4%
Steadman, R 47 23 16 0 6 2   49% 34% 0% 13% 4%
Hannibal, S 155 76 61 4 5 9   49% 39% 3% 3% 6%
Stevenson, D 106 52 37 8 4 5   49% 35% 8% 4% 5%
Baker, S 65 32 21 1 11     49% 32% 2% 17% 0%
Lee, A 188 94 67 9 15 3   50% 36% 5% 8% 2%
Corder, N 42 21 16 1 0 4   50% 38% 2% 0% 10%
Thistleton, S 125 63 49 3 5 5   50% 39% 2% 4% 4%
Nailor, S 93 47 37 5 3 1   51% 40% 5% 3% 1%
Steadman, M 107 56 37 8 5 1   52% 35% 7% 5% 1%
Randall-Turner, M 62 33 25 1 1 2   53% 40% 2% 2% 3%
Baughan, J 75 40 26 5 3 1   53% 35% 7% 4% 1%
Glasspool, A 48 27 14 3 4 0   56% 29% 6% 8% 0%
Hillyar, A 141 80 50 6 1 4   57% 35% 4% 1% 3%
Osborne, C 88 50 24 4 10 0   57% 27% 5% 11% 0%
Howard, J 71 42 25 1 0 3   59% 35% 1% 0% 4%
Wade, R 40 24 12 1 3 0   60% 30% 3% 8% 0%
Bramwell, M 40 26 12 1 0 1   65% 30% 3% 0% 3%
Baughan, C 73 50 19 0 4 0   68% 26% 0% 5% 0%
TOTALS      5,407    2,223   2,327     266     444     143        4 41% 43% 5% 8% 3%

As can be seen from the above table, only the Sri Lankan supremo Nilantha Atapattu has a ratio of being bowled that is equivalent to the international 1-day game at 18%.

There does appear to be a correlation between the players that appear at the top of the list and those who are generally considered to be top batsmen and/or have good technique within the Club. Few would deny that this is the case with David & Terry Steadman, Adam Clark, Dave Hurrell, Neil Prince, Charlie Smith and John Grasham. Ian Stone & Pete Hammett both have sold technique with Hammett in particular having played at a higher level in the past. Marshall Junior's inclusion at the top of the list is surprising due to the generally accepted theory that Marshall's have no technique - clearly this must be compensated by having a good eye!

The other end of the table, as you would expect are dominated by players who are mostly regarded as bowlers - Matt Bramwell, James Howard, Andy Hilyar, Carl Osborne etc. The exception to the rule is Club Chairman Chris Baughan who despite being a batsman, has managed to be bowled on a staggering 68% of occasions......

Of course analysis of dismissals is a nil sum game - you have to be out somehow so if you are hardly ever bowled, then the frequency of other dismissal types is higher. It is not a surprise therefore that Atapattu is the player most likely to be caught - dismissed this way 66% of the time with the only other player in the 60s being James Marshall. Out of the leading batsmen, the player least likely to be caught is Pete Bennet - he is either adept at keeping the ball on the floor....or he finds another way to get out (see LBW later).

It is likely that by taking more care with shot selection, players can reduce the likelihood of being bowled - and in turn this is likely to result in a higher overall batting average. This is a statistical fact for Sway as can been seen from the following figures:

 
Average Runs per Type of Dismissal - Overall after 2015
       
Runs Wickets Average  
       
Stumped      3,097      190   16.30 2.6%
Caught & Bowled      2,909      216   13.47 3.0%
Caught    32,894    2,541   12.95 34.7%
Caught behind      3,244      294   11.03 4.0%
LBW      5,982      564   10.61 7.7%
Bowled    33,282    3,131   10.63 42.8%
Run Out      3,982      373   10.68 5.1%
Hit Wicket           26          7     3.71 0.1%
         
     85,416    7,316 11.68  

As can be seen from the above, the average runs scored by batsmen caught the three different ways, is higher than the average for being bowled. Overall, "Caught" people on average score 2.17 more runs than "bowled people" - and this gap is likely to be much higher amongst top order batsmen (will of course check!).

Missing the ball and being bowled takes one piece of bad luck, but being caught needs three things to go against the batsman - the ball to go in the air, it going near a fielder, and the fielder actually catching it. As food for thought as the new season approaches,  Mr Atapattu has clearly sussed the odds - shot selection is an area we might all being able to improve on!

So who is the LBW king?

 
Dismissal Methods - Min 40 dismissals                  
Most Likely to be LBW                      
Dismiss Bwd Ct R/O LBW Stump other bowd ct ro lbw st
Bennett, P 176 68 50 7 48 3   39% 28% 4% 27% 2%
Hammett, P 49 13 16 2 12 6   27% 33% 4% 24% 12%
Brearley, M 55 19 20 4 12     35% 36% 7% 22% 0%
Clark, A 150 40 71 5 29 5   27% 47% 3% 19% 3%
Baughan, W 92 33 39 3 16 1   36% 42% 3% 17% 1%
Willson, S 76 27 28 8 13 0   36% 37% 11% 17% 0%
Stone, I 41 12 19 3 7 0   29% 46% 7% 17% 0%
Baker, S 65 32 21 1 11     49% 32% 2% 17% 0%
David, N 43 14 18 1 7 3   33% 42% 2% 16% 7%
Wright, M 131 51 52 9 19 0   39% 40% 7% 15% 0%
Prince, N 50 14 28 1 7 0   28% 56% 2% 14% 0%
Grasham, J 150 47 69 9 21 4   31% 46% 6% 14% 3%
Steadman, R 47 23 16 0 6 2   49% 34% 0% 13% 4%
Marshall, D 155 59 66 8 19 3   38% 43% 5% 12% 2%
Steadman, T 70 17 34 6 8 4 1 24% 49% 9% 11% 6%
Osborne, C 88 50 24 4 10 0   57% 27% 5% 11% 0%
Drayton, S 65 29 23 6 7     45% 35% 9% 11% 0%
Hurrell, D 284 77 156 16 28 6 1 27% 55% 6% 10% 2%
Atapattu, N 83 15 55 2 8 3   18% 66% 2% 10% 4%
Hammond, C 101 43 44 1 9 4   43% 44% 1% 9% 4%
How, S 148 58 61 9 13 7   39% 41% 6% 9% 5%
Glasspool, A 48 27 14 3 4 0   56% 29% 6% 8% 0%
Lee, A 188 94 67 9 15 3   50% 36% 5% 8% 2%
Walton, J 118 44 54 8 9 3   37% 46% 7% 8% 3%
Wade, R 40 24 12 1 3 0   60% 30% 3% 8% 0%
Owen, T 112 44 55 5 8 0   39% 49% 4% 7% 0%
Smith, C 57 18 26 5 4 4   32% 46% 9% 7% 7%
Charton, FJ 123 51 52 9 8 3   41% 42% 7% 7% 2%
Marshall, J 48 13 30 1 3 1   27% 63% 2% 6% 2%
Todd, C 49 18 27 0 3 1   37% 55% 0% 6% 2%
Harvey, S 73 33 29 6 4 1   45% 40% 8% 5% 1%
Baughan, C 73 50 19 0 4 0   68% 26% 0% 5% 0%
Wilkie, N 122 57 52 5 6 2   47% 43% 4% 5% 2%
Keen, S 189 66 100 10 9 4   35% 53% 5% 5% 2%
Thornton, H 42 19 14 6 2 1   45% 33% 14% 5% 2%
Steadman, M 107 56 37 8 5 1   52% 35% 7% 5% 1%
Tranter, R 43 20 17 4 2 0   47% 40% 9% 5% 0%
Hall, A 191 70 99 9 8 5   37% 52% 5% 4% 3%
Steadman, D 73 19 42 6 3 2 1 26% 58% 8% 4% 3%
Thistleton, S 125 63 49 3 5 5   50% 39% 2% 4% 4%
Baughan, J 75 40 26 5 3 1   53% 35% 7% 4% 1%
Stevenson, D 106 52 37 8 4 5   49% 35% 8% 4% 5%
Clark, R 84 33 40 6 3 2   39% 48% 7% 4% 2%
Brien, N 56 26 23 2 2 3   46% 41% 4% 4% 5%
Hannibal, S 155 76 61 4 5 9   49% 39% 3% 3% 6%
Nailor, S 93 47 37 5 3 1   51% 40% 5% 3% 1%
How, R 144 49 80 8 4 3   34% 56% 6% 3% 2%
Wood, M 43 20 19 1 1 1 1 47% 44% 2% 2% 2%
Wills, J 93 45 37 5 2 4   48% 40% 5% 2% 4%
Randall-Turner, M 62 33 25 1 1 2   53% 40% 2% 2% 3%
Hillyar, A 141 80 50 6 1 4   57% 35% 4% 1% 3%
Gallagher, N 51 19 30 1 0 1   37% 59% 2% 0% 2%
Straw, A 88 35 43 5 0 5   40% 49% 6% 0% 6%
Lewis, G 44 18 23 0 0 3   41% 52% 0% 0% 7%
Symons, L 79 34 38 3 0 4   43% 48% 4% 0% 5%
Corder, N 42 21 16 1 0 4   50% 38% 2% 0% 10%
Howard, J 71 42 25 1 0 3   59% 35% 1% 0% 4%
Bramwell, M 40 26 12 1 0 1   65% 30% 3% 0% 3%
TOTALS     5,407    2,223  2,327   266     444     143   41% 43% 5% 8% 3%

Pete Bennet is the top of the list with 27% followed by another big legged player, Pete Hammett. Adam Clark, who seems to be a magnet for ones that "kept a bit low" also features prominently. At the other end of the table, there are 7 players in the list who have never been dismissed LBW with the full stats as follows:

 

Never dismissed LBW
     
  LBWs Dismissals
Straw, A 0 88
Symons, L 0 79
Howard, J 0 71
Gallagher, N 0 51
Corder, N 0 44
Lewis, G 0 44
Bramwell, M 0 40
Thistleton, D 0 33
Thornton, G 0 32
Woodfine, D 0 29
Falso, V 0 28
Drayton, R 0 27
Hampton, C 0 23
Moore, Jacob 0 23
Hampton, A 0 21
Bulloch, P 0 20

On a final note, Sway batsmen are probably not run out enough!! In the international one day game around 10.5% of batsmen are run out - for Sway only notoriously dodgy runner Henry Thornton and Sarge Wilson manage to top this. Quite a few Sway players have never been run out - Rob Steadman was very quick and presumably George Lewis is no slouch, whilst Caspar Todd and and Chris Hammond are perhaps "reluctant to leave the crease". Overall as a club  perhaps we should be looking to keep the scoreboard ticking over more, taking more singles even if this causes an uptick in the number of run outs.